With the start of free agency behind us the NFL media is focusing more and more on the draft. There are suggestions of trade downs and trade ups for all teams. Last year had a record number of trades in the first round because you can actually afford to have two 1st round draftees on your roster without killing your cap space.
There are currently two ideas running through my head on the Saints' draft:
1. Draft a playmaker!
The real question is, is there such a playmaker to be found at #15? Is he just really good or is he a difference maker. I do not know many guys in this draft so I could not answer you that question. The Saints' scouts can. If there is such a difference maker available you should definitely get him. If the Saints had a top 10 or top 5 pick... go for it for, sure. But at 15 I think the guy left is not the guy you need, though there is a lot of good talent at 3-4 DEs & OLBs to be found.
2. Trade down.
And that actually makes a LOT of sense. If you can for instance trade down with SF, you can get pick #31 and pick #34. Now why is this profitable? Well if you cannot get the one elite guy in the draft you need a lot of good guys. The Saints actually need guys in places where there is not a lot of depth. That means that this season you can get a guy at DE/OLB at #30 that would be a top 20 pick in other years. So trading down still retains your value for money. Plus you get another guy! The Saints would maybe get the #1 ranked NT at #34 and having their o-line pretty much set by pick #34.
What do you think the Saints should do?
If you take any set of same things and compare them a lot, some will be in the middle, some will be up and some will be down. However, the absolute worst or absolute best is often a standout. Take these lists for example. You can see that the best team is in a different league. Maybe there is a close second but in nearly any stat you see there is an absolute top and the rest is just around the average.
Maybe this image helps visualize it a bit for you:
So what does this mean for the Saints drafting at #15? The guy is most likely not an absolute top player. That is reserved for just a few. So if no top guy falls to the Saints, trade down and get a guy that you like a lot at #31 that is in quality not far off from the guy you would have gotten at #15.
Trading down would be the best of possibilities, if you can find a partner. The Vikings also has 2 picks in the 1st round. With either the 23rd or 25th pick I could see drafting Johnathan Jenkins, True NT out of GA. Would be a bit of a reach at the 15th pick but just what we need to anchor the line with a later pick. We should not trade up. Just wouldn't make any sense. We are already short the 2nd round, and 7th round picks.
I completely agree! But like I said in my last post, Sheldon Richardson is a playmaker @ the DE/DT spot. And I'd say its a fair assessment to think that he's the only difference maker that will still be around @ pick 15. B. Mingo is another possibility but IMO he's too risky and a project player. To be honest I hope he's off the board by 15 so we don't even have the opportunity to take a chance on him. If the stars align and the football gods want to praise us, Dion Jordan or Star Lotulelei would fall to us at 15. But that's very unrealistic because these guys stock have been rising dramatically since the combine. As the days pass trading down looks more and more like the smartest move for us since we don't have that 2nd round pick. (Smh @ Goodell) Here's a thought: Do we think Mickey Loomis and our staff are in love with a top ten prospect? Do we have the balls or even the firepower to be aggressive and move into the top ten to go after a Dion Jordan, Star Lotulelei, Sharrif Floyd, Dee Milliner or maybe even Eric Fisher. Yes, I said a LT. IMO Eric Fisher is the best LT in this draft. I wouldn't be dissatisfied if our staff made a big move to protect our most valuable piece in Drew Brees for the rest of his career. But lets get back to reality. We most likely don't have the firepower to trade up and go grab a guy. Trading down is our best option and goes along with what the saints organization has thrived with in the Sean Payton era. VALUE
@hakimdropsball I'm with you I think. Unless something amazing falls, get more bodies.
If it works out the way you mention then yes, trade down. If a player of great value is offerd in the trade then that works too.
I love it, another post from our favorite whacky Dutchman. I personally think trading down would be a good thing too, the Saints need bodies. Like you said, only pick at 15 if you think there's a guy that fell to you you just simply cannot pass on.
@Lord Breesus Trading up! I never thought about that. And that might be something Payton and Loomis would do. This year is on the defensive side a project year. You can not expect to have a great defense immediately. You can go for a lot of mediocracy or get ONE guy that is great and trade up. Seriously! Great insight! If I were Payton I would definately do it if there is someone interested into what would be on the table. Give them a trade (Vilma, Smith?) And the #15 pick and the #75 pick and get the ONE guy you need. The ONE guy you can build a defense around. The rest of your defense at this point is a huge questionmark. Take this year to see who can play in 3-4 and who can not. Get rid of the guys that are not and use next years draft In which you have a 1st and 2nd and 3rd round pick to get some good guys at positions you need them.